Pletenchuk said that with the latest attack, a third of all warships that Russian had in the Black Sea before the war have been destroyed or disabled. At the same time, he acknowledged that just two of about a dozen of Russian missile carrying warships have been sunk and pledged that Ukraine will continue the strikes.
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I’d say neither at the moment. They’ve won some significant battles but they are also facing an attritional war now with weakening support from the west.