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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Thai PM has warned Burmese over illegal entry as per this post here. Historically, Thailand is where Burmese exiles have always escaped to during political strife. During British occupation of Burma, hundreds of thousands of Burmese refugees lived in Thailand and formed a guerilla army that successfully participated in the liberation of Burma. Soon after independence different political and ethnic factions within the Burmese army that was created from merging the Burmese guerilla army with the British-trained colonial army mutinied into a civil war, refugees have streamed into Thailand on an annual basis. UN and international humanitarian agencies have long operated on the Thai-Burmese border for decades providing economic boost in those marginal regions to Thailand. Finally Thailand has <1% unemployment and has long welcomed and recruited Burmese expat workers currently estimated to be around 4 million, half of them believed to be illegal. This additional influx is a somewhat of a welcome boost.








  • There is some cooperation but a lot of rivalry. Current offensive is coordination between only 3 out of a dozen or more guerilla forces called Brotherhood Alliance - Arakan Army (which is the ethnic Arakanese who are predominantly buddhist, recently formed in the past decade when the Rohingya militants became active in Arakan), MNDAA - which is Kokang based populated by ethinc Han Chinese who escaped the Manchurians (and Qing dynasty) and settled in Burma, and Ta’ang National Liberation Army who represents a small ethnic group numbering a few hundred thousand at most in Northeast Burma. Since WW2 many of them fight amongst themselves for control of drug trade, black market trade, and territory where they tax businesses and people for protection. The biggest independent militia in the world - the United Wa State Army with 30,000 soldiers are neutral to the current conflict, are aligned with the military junta to a certain extent, but are also supplying arms to these other militias. Now all the ones I’ve mentioned are called Ethnic Armed Orgs (EAOs) or non-Burman.

    The government in exile formed by elected law makers from 2021 election who escaped abroad are supporting spontaneous civilian militias in various parts of lowland Burma, and also has a small armed group they have formed with civilian and student protesters from 2021. They are not well-organized, and thus are not coordinating with the Brotherhood Alliance, but are likely taking advantage of the situation. This government in exile has tried to arrange talks with all the EAOs into an alliance, but thus far have not been successful.


  • The military staged a coup in 2021 to prevent an elected civilian gov’t from taking power. There were massive nation-wide protests that they put down with gun fire. The civilian protest movement has organized militias funded by donations and allied themselves with ethnic rebels who’ve been fighting for autonomy or independence since the country gained independence from the British after WW2. Last month, that coalition of rebels launched an offensive that’s been hugely successful thus far taking a lot of bases from the military junta and taken control of two border towns that control trades with China and India. Junta is reeling and they are using scare tactics to try and rally people to their side.


  • Yes that’s what I thought initially too. Then I watched a few more videos and came to this realization. If you watched the interview videos (watch the one from BBC Morning show) the farm who adopted Fiona had to hire security because of animal rights activists. What I suspect is the owner gave the animal rights activists a few days to get the sheep out. When they couldn’t after a few days, told them to get equipment (which they clearly didn’t have in their first 3 attempts, and did not mention having equipment either when they went back and found the sheep was gone) and gave them the run around and got this bunch of farmers to do it, who did it in one go. He gave the sheep away because he didn’t want the attention of activists.


  • Erasing the ethnic identity of the Mongolians. Suppress Mongolian nationalism. This is a playbook of the Han Chinese not just since CCP but centuries before. This is what they are doing to the Uyghurs right now. They are flooding Tibet with massive Han migration so that Tibetans become a minority and eventually assimilate them over time so that Tibetans as an identity will disappear. They are known for erasing histories of people they do not like, re-write history to fit the narrative of the current dynasty. Some of the most disruptive archaeological discoveries have been evidences of people and civilizations that have no recorded history in Chinese history as maintained by the Mandarins. That’s what they are doing.