The Gaza Strip seems very poorly served by the Palestinian Authority, let alone Israel. But, the area has relatively stable borders and it would likely have a stable government in Hamas. So, what if Gaza just declared independence as the government with sole control over the Gaza Strip?
Would Gaza get recognized by other countries? Could it parlay the recognition into forcing a permanent peace with Israel as becoming a recognized country puts Israeli treatment of it into more known sections of international law?
This is already the defacto situation for palestine. It is already recognized by many countries. Treaties have been signed. We’ve been close to a two state solution in 2007 when PLO was in power. Hamas however is not about being at peace with the situation and aims at the dismantling of Israel. It wants an Islamic state from the east to the west. At multiple occasions has it sabotaged a two state solution through violence. Hamas is everything but stable, it is an Islamic extremist faction. The threat of hamas/isis has put religious extremist nationalist factions into power in Israel also fueled by people with a religious conviction. Just that the land of the palestinians belongs to the jews. They are not particularly interested in peaceful coexistence as seperate countries either.
I think most people have given up hope of a two state solution. It looks further away than ever.
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“it would likely have a stable government in Hamas”
…re-read that to yourself a few times.
Why do you think Hamas would be interested in peace with Israel? They very explicitly have never been and are not.
The Gaza strip is effectively ruled by Hamas, which rule without election since 2006. If they’re to declare independence, aren’t they need to elect a legitimate government first?
‘legitimate government’ isn’t really a thing. Many recognized countries are ruled by hereditary governments, or by autocrats who gained power in a coup. The legitimacy of such governments, andthe nationhood of the states, is recognized by other countries based on the foreign policy (mostly self interest) of those other countries. So, if you want to guess who would recognize a Gaza nation with Hamas as the ruling clique, ask yourself what governments would benifit from doing that.
A “Gaza country” would lie between Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Grenada the list list of countries by size (place 185). and between Lithuania, and Qatar in the list of countries by population size (Place 140). With no agriculture to speak of. How could such a county exist?
A lot of other countries in the Middle East are net importers of food. Also, it isn’t like they would be making their food situation worse.
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